Tigers vs. Royals odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Monday, July 11 best bets from proven model

The Detroit Tigers visit Kauffman Stadium for the first game of a doubleheader on Monday. The Tigers take on the Kansas City Royals in a makeup game after a postponement on April 17. The matchup pits division rivals, and this is the first of a four-game set in Kansas City. The Royals are 32-52 this season, with Detroit posting a 36-49 overall record.

First pitch is at 2:10 pm ET in Kansas City. Caesars Sportsbook lists Kansas City as a -135 favorite (risk $135 to win $10) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 9.5 in the latest Tigers vs. Royals odds. Before making any Royals vs. Tigers picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 271-232 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning well over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of the three best bets to win it all last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tigers vs. Royals, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Royals vs. Tigers:

  • Tigers vs. Royals money line: Royals -135, Tigers +115
  • Tigers vs. Royals over-under: 9.5 runs
  • Tigers vs. Royals run line: Royals -1.5 (+135)
  • DET: The Tigers are 13-25 in road games
  • KC: The Royals are 16-26 in home games
  • Tigers vs. Royals picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Why you should back the Tigers

The Tigers have some offensive advantages in Monday afternoon’s game. Detroit is in the top three of the American League in triples, and Kansas City’s bullpen is porous. In fact, the Royals are last in the AL in wins above replacement from relief pitchers, and Kansas City’s bullpen is also last in ERA and walk rate. On the run prevention side, Michael Pineda takes the ball for Detroit, and the former All-Star right-hander has a 3.62 ERA this season.

He also owns a 1.17 WHIP and a walk rate of only 1.7 per nine innings, and Pineda has allowed more than three runs in only one start this season. Right-handed batters have an ugly .690 OPS against Pineda, and Detroit’s bullpen is soundly in the top five of the American League in myriad categories, including ERA and wins above replacement. From there, Kansas City’s offense lacks power, ranking near the bottom of the league in runs scored, doubles, home runs, slugging percentage and OPS.

Why you should back the Royals

Kansas City starting pitcher Brad Keller is in strong form. Keller has a 3.22 ERA over the last four outings, headlined by six shutout innings against Detroit on July 1. For the season, Keller owns a sterling 1.38 ERA against the Tigers, and Detroit’s lineup is one of the worst in Major League Baseball this season .

In fact, the Tigers rank in the bottom three of the American League in almost every major offensive category, including runs scored, hits, doubles, home runs, stolen bases, batting average, on-base percentage, OPS, total bases and slugging percentage . Kansas City isn’t lighting up the scoreboard on offense this season, but the Royals are better than average in avoiding strikeouts and sitting atop the AL in triples.

How to make Royals vs. Tigers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under the total, projecting 8.2 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Tigers vs. Royals? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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